Q. Europa League Segunda Ronda Final
Global 7-1
Sevilla vs Újpest FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.8%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.7%
6.5%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
SEV
0 - 1
SLB
50%
24%
27%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
MUR
0 - 2
SEV
10%
19%
71%
|
87 | 56 | 31 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
SEV
1 - 1
BOU
73%
17%
11%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2018 |
LIN
0 - 6
SEV
8%
19%
73%
|
87 | 35 | 52 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
SEV
1 - 0
ALA
69%
19%
12%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Újpest FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
UJP
0 - 2
MTK
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2018 |
UJP
4 - 0
FKN
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2018 |
FKN
3 - 1
UJP
45%
24%
31%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2018 |
UJP
0 - 1
INT
57%
22%
21%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
UJP
2 - 1
DVS
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |