Qualif. Champions Play Offs Final
Global 3-5
Sevilla vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
15.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
FCB
4 - 0
SEV
79%
13%
8%
|
90 | 96 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2010 |
SPB
1 - 0
SEV
29%
26%
45%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
SEV
3 - 1
FCB
13%
18%
69%
|
90 | 96 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
CAD
2 - 3
SEV
18%
23%
59%
|
90 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
SEV
1 - 1
ESP
67%
20%
13%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
VST
0 - 0
SPB
24%
27%
49%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2010 |
SPB
1 - 0
SEV
29%
26%
45%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2010 |
SPB
3 - 1
POR
72%
20%
9%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2010 |
CEL
2 - 1
SPB
43%
27%
30%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2010 |
SPB
3 - 0
CEL
49%
25%
26%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |