Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 5-4
Sevilla vs SD Indautxu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.7%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.6%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.1%
6.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1959 |
SDI
2 - 2
SEV
36%
23%
42%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1959 |
CEL
0 - 1
SEV
35%
24%
42%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1959 |
SEV
3 - 0
SPO
73%
15%
12%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1959 |
RMA
8 - 0
SEV
86%
9%
5%
|
81 | 92 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1959 |
SEV
3 - 0
ESP
60%
20%
20%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
SD Indautxu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1959 |
SDI
2 - 2
SEV
36%
23%
42%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1959 |
SDI
2 - 1
GIR
69%
18%
14%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1959 |
BAS
0 - 1
SDI
51%
24%
25%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1959 |
SDI
1 - 1
SAB
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1959 |
RAC
2 - 2
SDI
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |