Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 2-1
Sevilla vs UE Sant Andreu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.6%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
7.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1971 |
SEV
3 - 2
GRA
63%
20%
17%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1971 |
GRA
1 - 1
SEV
41%
25%
35%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1971 |
SEV
2 - 1
PON
68%
18%
14%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1971 |
PON
0 - 0
SEV
28%
25%
47%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1971 |
ELC
1 - 0
SEV
39%
28%
33%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
UE Sant Andreu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 1971 |
UES
1 - 1
VIL
69%
21%
10%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1971 |
MLL
0 - 0
UES
65%
22%
13%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1971 |
ELC
0 - 0
UES
67%
19%
14%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1971 |
UES
0 - 2
RAY
50%
28%
22%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 May. 1971 |
UES
2 - 1
ELC
47%
24%
29%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |