Sevilla vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
15.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2007 |
DEP
1 - 2
SEV
28%
29%
44%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2007 |
ESP
2 - 2
SEV
31%
25%
45%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
SEV
2 - 1
REC
70%
20%
11%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2007 |
SEV
2 - 0
DEP
66%
21%
13%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
RMA
3 - 2
SEV
55%
24%
21%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2007 |
ZAR
4 - 3
ATH
58%
23%
20%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
VCF
2 - 0
ZAR
59%
23%
18%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
ZAR
0 - 0
RAC
61%
22%
17%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
OSA
2 - 2
ZAR
44%
27%
29%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
ZAR
2 - 0
CEL
61%
22%
17%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |