Sevilla vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
16%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1960 |
RMA
1 - 1
SEV
87%
8%
5%
|
84 | 93 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1960 |
SEV
0 - 0
GRA
70%
17%
13%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1960 |
SEV
3 - 1
ATH
44%
23%
33%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1960 |
VCF
6 - 0
SEV
48%
23%
29%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1960 |
SEV
2 - 0
ESP
67%
19%
15%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1960 |
ZAR
1 - 1
VCF
49%
24%
28%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1960 |
ESP
5 - 0
ZAR
57%
22%
21%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1960 |
ZAR
1 - 1
ELC
65%
18%
17%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1960 |
RSO
2 - 2
ZAR
58%
21%
21%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1960 |
ZAR
4 - 1
ATM
36%
24%
40%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | +1 |