Sevilla vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
9.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1940 |
CEL
2 - 2
SEV
48%
20%
32%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1940 |
SEV
10 - 3
VCF
67%
17%
17%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
OVI
0 - 4
SEV
65%
17%
18%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1940 |
SEV
11 - 1
FCB
56%
20%
24%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 1940 |
ZAR
4 - 2
SEV
46%
22%
32%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1940 |
VCF
1 - 0
ZAR
64%
19%
17%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1940 |
ZAR
2 - 1
FCB
44%
22%
33%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
ATH
0 - 0
ZAR
85%
10%
5%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1940 |
ZAR
1 - 1
RMA
31%
24%
45%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1940 |
ZAR
1 - 1
RMA
31%
23%
46%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | 0 |