Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 3-4
Sevilla vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
10.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1940 |
SEV
2 - 3
BET
71%
16%
14%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1940 |
BET
0 - 3
SEV
45%
23%
32%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 May. 1940 |
CDT
1 - 0
SEV
32%
22%
46%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | -1 |
| 12 May. 1940 |
SEV
6 - 1
CDT
81%
11%
8%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1940 |
HER
3 - 3
SEV
49%
22%
29%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1940 |
ATM
2 - 4
ZAR
72%
16%
12%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1940 |
ZAR
2 - 2
ATM
49%
22%
29%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1940 |
ATM
0 - 0
ZAR
73%
15%
12%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1940 |
ZAR
3 - 0
BAR
80%
12%
8%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1940 |
BAR
0 - 4
ZAR
42%
23%
35%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | +1 |