Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 7-4
Sevilla vs Real Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
36.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1933 |
SEV
1 - 1
DEP
53%
23%
25%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1933 |
OSA
4 - 0
SEV
63%
19%
18%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1933 |
SEV
1 - 2
OVI
43%
21%
36%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1933 |
MUR
3 - 2
SEV
60%
21%
20%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1933 |
SEV
1 - 1
CEL
55%
21%
24%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1933 |
RUN
2 - 2
OVI
59%
18%
23%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1933 |
OVI
5 - 1
ATM
61%
17%
21%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1933 |
SEV
1 - 2
OVI
43%
21%
36%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 1933 |
OVI
7 - 1
OSA
65%
17%
18%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1933 |
OVI
3 - 0
MUR
70%
15%
15%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |