Sevilla vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
7.4%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2000 |
SEV
2 - 3
RAY
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2000 |
ATM
1 - 1
SEV
70%
18%
12%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2000 |
SEV
0 - 4
MLL
36%
28%
36%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
SEV
2 - 3
OVI
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
FCB
2 - 0
SEV
85%
10%
5%
|
76 | 91 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2000 |
GRA
0 - 1
MUR
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2000 |
MUR
1 - 2
GRA
55%
24%
20%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2000 |
MUR
1 - 0
CDM
71%
17%
11%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2000 |
BUR
1 - 2
MUR
39%
28%
33%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2000 |
MUR
1 - 2
BUR
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |