Sevilla vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
10%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
10%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1969 |
ELC
3 - 3
SEV
17%
26%
57%
|
76 | 48 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1969 |
SEV
0 - 0
BUR
76%
17%
8%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1969 |
CEL
1 - 0
SEV
55%
23%
23%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 1969 |
SEV
1 - 0
ALA
81%
14%
5%
|
77 | 48 | 29 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1969 |
SEV
3 - 3
SPO
65%
21%
14%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1969 |
MUR
2 - 0
SPO
39%
28%
33%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1969 |
MLL
1 - 1
MUR
65%
22%
13%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1969 |
MUR
3 - 1
JER
71%
19%
10%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1969 |
PUE
1 - 0
MUR
59%
24%
17%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1969 |
MUR
1 - 1
ALC
60%
24%
16%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |