Sevilla vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.3%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
12.6%
6.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1963 |
PON
0 - 0
SEV
22%
24%
54%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1963 |
SEV
3 - 0
VCF
51%
24%
26%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1963 |
BET
3 - 1
SEV
61%
20%
20%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1963 |
SEV
1 - 1
BET
62%
20%
18%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1963 |
BET
2 - 1
SEV
64%
18%
18%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1963 |
MUR
1 - 5
FCB
18%
23%
59%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1963 |
ZAR
3 - 2
MUR
89%
8%
3%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1963 |
MUR
2 - 1
ATM
21%
26%
53%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | +2 |
| 05 May. 1963 |
MUR
1 - 0
FCB
19%
22%
59%
|
64 | 87 | 23 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 1963 |
FCB
3 - 1
MUR
92%
6%
2%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | -1 |