Sevilla vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.8%
Win probability
3.4
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.7%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
4%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.1%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
11.7%
9.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1950 |
SEV
4 - 2
VAD
76%
13%
11%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1950 |
VAD
6 - 0
SEV
52%
22%
27%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1950 |
DEP
1 - 1
SEV
61%
19%
20%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1950 |
SEV
4 - 2
DEP
73%
15%
12%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1950 |
GIM
2 - 4
SEV
47%
23%
30%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 1950 |
MUR
2 - 0
OVI
44%
22%
34%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1950 |
LLE
4 - 1
MUR
47%
20%
33%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -2 |
| 18 Jun. 1950 |
MUR
4 - 0
ALC
50%
21%
29%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +2 |
| 11 Jun. 1950 |
MUR
2 - 2
RAC
48%
21%
32%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1950 |
MUR
3 - 1
LLE
70%
16%
14%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |