Sevilla vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.7%
Win probability
3.45
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.5%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.5%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.2%
10%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10%
6.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1945 |
VCF
1 - 0
SEV
68%
16%
16%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1945 |
SEV
4 - 2
ATH
56%
20%
24%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1945 |
ATM
1 - 1
SEV
60%
19%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1945 |
SEV
4 - 2
ALC
83%
10%
7%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1945 |
ESP
1 - 1
SEV
46%
23%
31%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1945 |
MUR
2 - 3
CAS
44%
22%
34%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1945 |
CEL
1 - 1
MUR
71%
15%
13%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1945 |
MUR
1 - 1
HER
59%
19%
22%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1945 |
FCB
1 - 1
MUR
82%
11%
7%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1945 |
MUR
0 - 3
OVI
33%
21%
46%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |