Sevilla vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.7%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.2%
8.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1945 |
SAB
2 - 3
SEV
31%
22%
48%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1945 |
MLL
1 - 1
SEV
23%
21%
56%
|
83 | 55 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1945 |
SEV
8 - 1
CAS
72%
15%
13%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1945 |
GRA
3 - 1
SEV
41%
24%
35%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1944 |
SEV
6 - 0
MLL
88%
8%
4%
|
83 | 55 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1945 |
MUR
2 - 2
ATH
39%
23%
39%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1945 |
MUR
3 - 3
BAR
75%
14%
11%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1945 |
VCF
9 - 3
MUR
82%
11%
7%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 1945 |
MUR
1 - 0
DEP
64%
18%
18%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1944 |
BAR
2 - 1
MUR
42%
22%
36%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |