Sevilla vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.9%
23.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 1929 |
SEV
1 - 2
ISC
63%
18%
18%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1929 |
OVI
3 - 2
SEV
43%
23%
35%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 1929 |
SEV
2 - 0
BET
55%
21%
25%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 1929 |
SEV
2 - 0
SPO
52%
21%
27%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 1929 |
LEO
2 - 0
SEV
38%
24%
38%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 1929 |
MUR
4 - 0
BET
56%
21%
23%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1929 |
DEP
3 - 4
MUR
67%
18%
16%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1929 |
MUR
2 - 2
ALA
59%
21%
21%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1929 |
OVI
1 - 3
MUR
69%
17%
15%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 1929 |
MUR
1 - 1
ISC
62%
19%
19%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |