Sevilla vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
12.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1928 |
VCF
1 - 1
SEV
59%
20%
22%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1928 |
SEV
1 - 0
CAR
84%
11%
6%
|
75 | 45 | 30 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1928 |
SEV
3 - 3
BET
54%
22%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1928 |
LEV
2 - 0
SEV
19%
21%
60%
|
76 | 48 | 28 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 1928 |
MUR
1 - 2
SEV
31%
23%
46%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1928 |
BET
1 - 3
MUR
74%
15%
11%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1928 |
MUR
5 - 1
LEV
74%
15%
11%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1928 |
CAR
2 - 2
MUR
28%
24%
49%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1928 |
MUR
1 - 0
VCF
32%
24%
44%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 1928 |
MUR
1 - 2
SEV
31%
23%
46%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | -1 |