Sevilla vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
57.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
MAL
2 - 0
SEV
48%
26%
26%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2003 |
SEV
1 - 1
VAD
53%
25%
23%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
VIL
3 - 3
SEV
46%
26%
28%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
SEV
2 - 2
BET
46%
26%
28%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2003 |
CER
1 - 7
SEV
12%
27%
61%
|
86 | 31 | 55 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2003 |
PAR
0 - 0
RMA
19%
21%
60%
|
94 | 73 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
RMA
3 - 0
ATH
78%
13%
9%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2003 |
ZAR
0 - 0
RMA
16%
21%
63%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
RMA
3 - 1
RAC
85%
10%
5%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2003 |
RMA
1 - 0
PAR
90%
7%
3%
|
94 | 73 | 21 | 0 |