Sevilla vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
56%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1965 |
ATH
1 - 0
SEV
65%
20%
15%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1965 |
SEV
0 - 1
MAL
72%
18%
11%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1965 |
UDL
1 - 0
SEV
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1965 |
ELC
1 - 1
SEV
63%
20%
17%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1965 |
SEV
1 - 1
ZAR
27%
26%
48%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1965 |
KIL
2 - 2
RMA
27%
25%
48%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1965 |
RMA
2 - 1
ELC
83%
12%
6%
|
93 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1965 |
ZAR
2 - 3
RMA
44%
23%
32%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1965 |
RMA
0 - 0
ESP
88%
8%
4%
|
93 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1965 |
ATM
1 - 1
RMA
44%
24%
31%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |