Sevilla vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
27.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
HER
1 - 1
SEV
31%
25%
44%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1954 |
SEV
5 - 2
RSO
74%
15%
12%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
VAD
2 - 5
SEV
48%
23%
30%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1954 |
SEV
3 - 2
DEP
73%
15%
12%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1954 |
FCB
4 - 2
SEV
82%
11%
7%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
RMA
4 - 1
MAL
83%
11%
6%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1954 |
HER
1 - 1
RMA
23%
22%
55%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
RMA
7 - 0
UDL
86%
9%
5%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1954 |
RSO
1 - 3
RMA
40%
23%
37%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1954 |
RMA
1 - 2
VCF
62%
19%
20%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |