Sevilla vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.2%
17.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1948 |
OVI
0 - 1
SEV
54%
21%
25%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1948 |
SEV
0 - 3
ESP
73%
15%
12%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1948 |
SEV
2 - 1
CEL
68%
16%
16%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1948 |
VAD
2 - 0
SEV
28%
22%
50%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1948 |
SEV
6 - 0
ATH
62%
19%
20%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1948 |
RMA
4 - 1
VAD
78%
13%
9%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1948 |
ATH
2 - 3
RMA
70%
16%
15%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1948 |
RMA
1 - 2
ATM
55%
21%
25%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1948 |
VCF
4 - 4
RMA
68%
17%
15%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1948 |
RMA
1 - 2
FCB
49%
22%
29%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |