Sevilla vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
21.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1946 |
CAS
1 - 4
SEV
40%
25%
36%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1946 |
SEV
3 - 1
ESP
73%
15%
12%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1946 |
ATH
5 - 0
SEV
70%
16%
14%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1946 |
SEV
1 - 1
MUR
85%
10%
6%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1946 |
OVI
4 - 2
SEV
52%
21%
27%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1946 |
RMA
3 - 3
CEL
77%
13%
10%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1946 |
SAB
3 - 3
RMA
36%
24%
40%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1946 |
RMA
4 - 0
SPO
77%
13%
10%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1946 |
RMA
5 - 0
DEP
82%
12%
7%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1946 |
CAS
2 - 3
RMA
39%
25%
37%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |