Sevilla vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
24.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1942 |
CEL
1 - 1
SEV
51%
21%
28%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1942 |
SEV
6 - 0
ESP
64%
18%
19%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 1942 |
HER
1 - 0
SEV
39%
23%
38%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1942 |
SEV
4 - 1
CAS
90%
7%
4%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1942 |
OVI
4 - 0
SEV
51%
21%
28%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1942 |
RMA
3 - 0
DEP
83%
11%
6%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1942 |
FCB
0 - 2
RMA
41%
23%
36%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 1942 |
RMA
3 - 2
ATH
64%
18%
18%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1942 |
GRA
3 - 1
RMA
22%
22%
57%
|
89 | 66 | 23 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 1942 |
RMA
6 - 4
RSO
82%
11%
7%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | +1 |