Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 1-0
Sevilla vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
42.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1935 |
SEV
7 - 2
RSO
64%
18%
19%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1935 |
BET
2 - 2
SEV
58%
20%
22%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1935 |
SEV
4 - 0
ARE
69%
16%
15%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1935 |
FCB
2 - 3
SEV
73%
15%
12%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1935 |
SEV
1 - 3
RMA
36%
22%
41%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1935 |
RMA
6 - 1
ARE
79%
12%
9%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1935 |
FCB
5 - 0
RMA
48%
21%
31%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1935 |
RMA
3 - 0
VCF
74%
14%
12%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1935 |
RMA
3 - 2
RAC
73%
14%
13%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1935 |
SEV
1 - 3
RMA
36%
22%
41%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |