Sevilla vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
28.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1927 |
EXT
2 - 11
SEV
13%
20%
66%
|
76 | 8 | 68 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1926 |
RMA
2 - 3
SEV
61%
19%
20%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1926 |
SEV
3 - 0
MUR
69%
17%
14%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1926 |
SEV
0 - 1
RMA
44%
23%
32%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1926 |
MUR
2 - 2
SEV
34%
24%
43%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1927 |
RMA
9 - 4
EXT
88%
8%
4%
|
78 | 8 | 70 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1926 |
FCB
3 - 0
RMA
70%
16%
14%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1926 |
RMA
1 - 5
FCB
45%
23%
33%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1926 |
RMA
2 - 3
SEV
61%
19%
20%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1926 |
MUR
1 - 2
RMA
28%
24%
49%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |