Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 3-13
Sevilla vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
25.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1917 |
SEV
2 - 1
RMA
52%
22%
26%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1917 |
RMA
8 - 1
SEV
67%
18%
15%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1917 |
SEV
2 - 1
RMA
52%
22%
26%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1917 |
RMA
8 - 1
SEV
67%
18%
15%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1916 |
ATH
4 - 0
RMA
58%
20%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1916 |
RMA
4 - 2
FCB
58%
20%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1916 |
RMA
6 - 6
FCB
58%
21%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |