Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 3-1
Sevilla vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
9.8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1998 |
REC
0 - 1
SEV
22%
28%
50%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1998 |
RJA
1 - 1
SEV
24%
27%
49%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1998 |
SEV
3 - 0
CDO
78%
16%
7%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1998 |
SEV
1 - 1
UDL
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1998 |
EIB
1 - 1
SEV
32%
31%
37%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1998 |
RJA
0 - 0
BET
60%
23%
16%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1998 |
RJA
1 - 1
SEV
24%
27%
49%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1998 |
XER
0 - 0
RJA
42%
29%
29%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1998 |
EXT
2 - 2
RJA
75%
17%
8%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1998 |
RJA
2 - 1
ELC
48%
28%
24%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |