Copa del Rey Semi-finals
Global 5-1
Sevilla vs Osasuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.6%
14.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 1935 |
SEV
3 - 2
ATM
64%
18%
18%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1935 |
ATM
2 - 2
SEV
61%
18%
20%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1935 |
RMA
0 - 0
SEV
80%
12%
8%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1935 |
SEV
1 - 0
RMA
36%
22%
42%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1935 |
SEV
7 - 2
RSO
64%
18%
19%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Osasuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 1935 |
OSA
4 - 1
ZAR
60%
19%
21%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1935 |
ZAR
1 - 3
OSA
67%
17%
16%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 May. 1935 |
OSA
5 - 2
BAD
84%
10%
6%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | +1 |
| 19 May. 1935 |
BAD
4 - 3
OSA
30%
22%
48%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1935 |
OSA
3 - 0
MUR
63%
18%
20%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |