Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 5-2
Sevilla vs Osasuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
19.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1928 |
OSA
0 - 1
SEV
52%
21%
27%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1928 |
SEV
8 - 0
VAD
54%
22%
24%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 1928 |
VAD
2 - 0
SEV
54%
21%
25%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1928 |
SEV
7 - 2
VCF
46%
23%
31%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1928 |
CAR
1 - 0
SEV
23%
22%
55%
|
75 | 50 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Osasuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1928 |
OSA
0 - 1
SEV
52%
21%
27%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1928 |
OSA
4 - 2
MUR
69%
17%
14%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |