Europa League Quarter-finals
Global 5-2
Sevilla vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
61%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
VCF
0 - 2
SEV
39%
26%
35%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2023 |
MUD
2 - 2
SEV
69%
19%
12%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
SEV
2 - 2
CEL
52%
24%
23%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
CAD
0 - 2
SEV
28%
27%
45%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
GET
2 - 0
SEV
24%
28%
48%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
NTT
0 - 2
MUD
10%
19%
71%
|
94 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2023 |
MUD
2 - 2
SEV
69%
19%
12%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
MUD
2 - 0
EVE
72%
18%
10%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
MUD
1 - 0
BRE
66%
20%
14%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
NEW
2 - 0
MUD
18%
23%
59%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |