Champions League Playoffs Last 16
Global 2-1
Sevilla vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
28.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
UDL
1 - 2
SEV
23%
23%
54%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
SEV
1 - 0
GIR
76%
16%
9%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
SEV
2 - 0
LEG
76%
16%
8%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
EIB
5 - 1
SEV
37%
25%
38%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
LEG
1 - 1
SEV
21%
24%
55%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
HUR
0 - 2
MUD
16%
23%
61%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
NEW
1 - 0
MUD
21%
24%
56%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
MUD
2 - 0
HUR
79%
16%
6%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
TOT
2 - 0
MUD
42%
25%
34%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2018 |
YEO
0 - 4
MUD
12%
22%
67%
|
89 | 53 | 36 | 0 |