Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 1-0
Sevilla vs Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.8%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
6.7%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1996 |
CEL
4 - 2
SEV
45%
27%
28%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1996 |
SEV
1 - 3
RMA
26%
25%
49%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1996 |
EXT
0 - 1
SEV
31%
27%
41%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 1996 |
MAL
0 - 1
SEV
32%
24%
44%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1996 |
SEV
4 - 2
ATH
47%
28%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1996 |
MAL
2 - 3
CCF
68%
21%
12%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1996 |
GAL
0 - 0
MAL
26%
29%
46%
|
69 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1996 |
MAL
2 - 1
SEV
70%
19%
11%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 1996 |
MAL
0 - 1
SEV
32%
24%
44%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1996 |
UDS
1 - 0
MAL
21%
29%
51%
|
69 | 41 | 28 | 0 |