Champions League Playoffs Last 16
Global 2-3
Sevilla vs Leicester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
11.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
SEV
2 - 0
EIB
59%
21%
20%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
UDL
0 - 1
SEV
31%
25%
44%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
SEV
0 - 0
VIL
63%
20%
16%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
ESP
3 - 1
SEV
30%
25%
45%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
OSA
3 - 4
SEV
18%
23%
59%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
MIL
1 - 0
LEI
24%
25%
51%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
SWA
2 - 0
LEI
33%
26%
41%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
LEI
3 - 1
DER
67%
20%
13%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
LEI
0 - 3
MUD
28%
25%
47%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2017 |
BUR
1 - 0
LEI
31%
26%
43%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |