Q. Europa League Playoffs Final
Global 9-1
Sevilla vs Śląsk Wrocław analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
9.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
SEV
1 - 3
ATM
43%
25%
32%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2013 |
MUD
1 - 3
SEV
75%
16%
9%
|
87 | 94 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2013 |
MLA
1 - 6
SEV
19%
24%
57%
|
87 | 61 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2013 |
SEV
3 - 0
MLA
82%
13%
6%
|
87 | 61 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
BSC
1 - 3
SEV
27%
25%
48%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Śląsk Wrocław
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
STA
1 - 3
SLA
6%
16%
78%
|
77 | 43 | 34 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
POG
2 - 2
SLA
23%
25%
51%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2013 |
BRU
3 - 3
SLA
57%
23%
21%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
SLA
0 - 0
WIS
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2013 |
SLA
1 - 0
BRU
36%
24%
40%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |