Sevilla vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
10.2%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1973 |
SEV
3 - 1
RAC
72%
16%
12%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1973 |
CDT
2 - 0
SEV
37%
31%
32%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 1973 |
RAC
1 - 0
SEV
45%
24%
31%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1973 |
SEV
2 - 0
GIM
75%
17%
8%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1973 |
PON
2 - 0
SEV
29%
33%
39%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1973 |
HER
3 - 0
CUL
56%
21%
23%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1973 |
HER
1 - 0
VAD
47%
29%
24%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1973 |
CAD
2 - 1
HER
60%
25%
16%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1973 |
CUL
2 - 0
HER
65%
18%
17%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -2 |
| 07 Jan. 1973 |
HER
1 - 0
CCF
50%
28%
23%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |