Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 4-0
Sevilla vs Gimnástica Segoviana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.6%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
14%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
17.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.9%
1-0
15%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.2%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.1%
0
13.8%
4.6%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
SEV
2 - 0
OSA
66%
21%
13%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
CEL
1 - 2
SEV
36%
28%
36%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2006 |
SEG
0 - 1
SEV
15%
25%
60%
|
91 | 50 | 41 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
SEV
2 - 1
GIM
75%
17%
8%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2006 |
SLI
0 - 0
SEV
27%
28%
45%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Gimnástica Segoviana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
LEO
1 - 1
SEG
10%
20%
71%
|
50 | 23 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
SEG
1 - 0
CDL
81%
14%
6%
|
50 | 21 | 29 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2006 |
SEG
0 - 1
SEV
15%
25%
60%
|
50 | 91 | 41 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
BUR
0 - 0
SEG
10%
18%
73%
|
50 | 23 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
SEG
5 - 0
BAÑ
84%
12%
4%
|
50 | 17 | 33 | 0 |