Champions League Last 16
Global 5-5
Sevilla vs Fenerbahçe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
9.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
DEP
2 - 1
SEV
25%
27%
48%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
SEV
5 - 0
ZAR
69%
19%
12%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2008 |
FEN
3 - 2
SEV
31%
26%
43%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
ESP
2 - 4
SEV
38%
27%
35%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
SEV
1 - 1
FCB
42%
25%
33%
|
92 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
ANK
0 - 0
FEN
25%
25%
51%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2008 |
GAL
2 - 1
FEN
54%
23%
23%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
FEN
0 - 2
BUR
74%
16%
10%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2008 |
FEN
3 - 2
SEV
31%
26%
43%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2008 |
RIZ
2 - 4
FEN
24%
25%
51%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |