Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
Sevilla vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
12.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
VCF
3 - 1
SEV
57%
22%
21%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2015 |
ESP
3 - 1
SEV
26%
25%
49%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
SEV
2 - 0
MAL
61%
21%
18%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2015 |
SEV
4 - 0
GRA
74%
17%
9%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
ALM
0 - 2
SEV
27%
25%
48%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
ESP
3 - 0
ALM
51%
24%
25%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2015 |
ESP
3 - 1
SEV
26%
25%
49%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
ESP
1 - 0
CEL
45%
26%
29%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2015 |
ESP
2 - 0
VCF
25%
26%
50%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
RMA
3 - 0
ESP
92%
6%
2%
|
82 | 97 | 15 | 0 |