Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 8-7
Sevilla vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
14.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1954 |
SEV
2 - 0
CEL
75%
14%
11%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1954 |
CEL
1 - 1
SEV
58%
20%
22%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1954 |
RSO
3 - 2
SEV
53%
22%
25%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1954 |
SEV
2 - 1
ATM
63%
18%
19%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1954 |
FCB
4 - 1
SEV
84%
10%
6%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1954 |
ESP
2 - 1
ATM
66%
17%
17%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1954 |
ATM
1 - 3
ESP
75%
14%
11%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1954 |
ESP
2 - 1
RMA
47%
22%
32%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1954 |
FCB
1 - 4
ESP
87%
9%
5%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1954 |
VCF
4 - 2
ESP
73%
15%
12%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |