Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 5-1
Sevilla vs Diter Zafra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.7%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.9%
5.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
ATM
2 - 2
SEV
76%
15%
9%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
SEV
1 - 1
SPO
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1978 |
SEV
5 - 1
CDR
84%
11%
5%
|
77 | 23 | 54 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
CEL
1 - 1
SEV
40%
30%
30%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
SEV
6 - 1
REC
63%
23%
14%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Diter Zafra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
CDZ
2 - 1
UES
54%
28%
18%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
AGD
1 - 0
CDZ
70%
20%
10%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1978 |
CDZ
1 - 0
CPC
69%
18%
13%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1978 |
CDZ
1 - 1
PUE
43%
30%
27%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
XER
4 - 3
CDZ
71%
19%
11%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |