Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 5-3
Sevilla vs RC Deportivo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
6%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.5%
12.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1950 |
GIM
2 - 4
SEV
47%
23%
30%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1950 |
SEV
5 - 3
ATH
54%
20%
27%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1950 |
SEV
5 - 0
BAL
89%
7%
4%
|
81 | 54 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1950 |
ESP
2 - 1
SEV
54%
22%
25%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1950 |
SEV
4 - 3
CEL
60%
19%
22%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
RC Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1950 |
ATH
2 - 2
DEP
75%
14%
11%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1950 |
DEP
2 - 1
ESP
63%
19%
18%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1950 |
CEL
2 - 3
DEP
70%
16%
14%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1950 |
DEP
1 - 0
MAL
69%
16%
15%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1950 |
ATM
6 - 1
DEP
78%
13%
10%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |