Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 5-4
Sevilla vs Dénia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.7%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.8%
4-0
10.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
+4
12.8%
3-0
15.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.6%
2-0
16.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.6%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.2%
3%
Win probability
0.36
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
SEV
4 - 1
RAC
73%
18%
10%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
VAD
0 - 0
SEV
22%
26%
52%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2007 |
SLP
0 - 3
SEV
12%
20%
68%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
SEV
3 - 1
MUR
81%
14%
5%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2007 |
OSA
1 - 1
SEV
30%
27%
43%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Dénia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
DEN
0 - 0
GRA
35%
29%
36%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
SAB
1 - 0
DEN
40%
27%
34%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
DEN
1 - 0
LEV
51%
27%
22%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
VIL
0 - 1
DEN
39%
27%
34%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
DEN
2 - 0
RCD
44%
26%
30%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |