Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 5-3
Sevilla vs Cultural Leonesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.2%
Win probability
3.81
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.5%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.3%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
1.9%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.3%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
3.4%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.7%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
5.4%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.4%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.6%
7.5%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
3.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
7.5%
4.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1955 |
ATH
2 - 2
SEV
74%
14%
12%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1955 |
SEV
5 - 2
RAC
76%
14%
11%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1955 |
MAL
0 - 2
SEV
38%
23%
40%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1955 |
SEV
4 - 0
UDL
77%
14%
10%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1955 |
VCF
3 - 1
SEV
72%
15%
13%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Cultural Leonesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1955 |
CUL
3 - 2
AVI
69%
17%
14%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1955 |
OVI
3 - 1
CUL
71%
17%
13%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1955 |
CUL
5 - 2
LLE
64%
19%
17%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1955 |
OSA
4 - 1
CUL
67%
18%
15%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -2 |
| 06 Mar. 1955 |
RCF
1 - 0
CUL
44%
25%
31%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |