Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 4-3
Sevilla vs Cultural Leonesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.1%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.5%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.4%
7.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1930 |
SEV
4 - 1
DEP
59%
19%
22%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1930 |
ALA
5 - 0
SEV
45%
23%
32%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 1930 |
SEV
4 - 0
VCF
53%
20%
27%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 1930 |
MUR
2 - 1
SEV
40%
23%
37%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1930 |
ISC
2 - 2
SEV
41%
23%
36%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |