Champions League Eliminatorias Last 16
Global 2-3
Sevilla vs CSKA Moskva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
SEV
1 - 1
DEP
65%
21%
14%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
RMA
3 - 2
SEV
68%
18%
14%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
SEV
0 - 0
ATH
69%
19%
12%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2010 |
CSK
1 - 1
SEV
31%
27%
42%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
MLL
1 - 3
SEV
41%
26%
33%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CSKA Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2010 |
CSK
1 - 0
PER
67%
21%
12%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
FCR
1 - 0
CSK
37%
25%
38%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2010 |
CSK
1 - 1
SEV
31%
27%
42%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2009 |
BJK
1 - 2
CSK
43%
25%
33%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
CSK
3 - 0
SAT
62%
23%
15%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |