Sevilla vs Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
11.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1933 |
SPO
5 - 1
SEV
67%
17%
16%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1933 |
DEP
3 - 1
SEV
59%
21%
20%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 1933 |
SEV
3 - 1
OSA
60%
20%
21%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 1933 |
OVI
5 - 1
SEV
65%
17%
18%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 1933 |
SEV
3 - 1
MUR
62%
19%
19%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1933 |
CAS
0 - 2
OVI
44%
22%
34%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1933 |
OSA
1 - 2
CAS
73%
15%
12%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1933 |
SPO
6 - 1
CAS
79%
13%
9%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1933 |
CAS
3 - 0
RUN
30%
21%
49%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 1933 |
DEP
4 - 0
CAS
72%
16%
12%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |