Sevilla vs CD Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
3.23
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
12.7%
10.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1953 |
OVI
2 - 0
SEV
32%
24%
44%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1953 |
SEV
6 - 2
DEP
75%
14%
11%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1953 |
ATH
6 - 1
SEV
75%
13%
11%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1953 |
SEV
3 - 0
VAD
76%
14%
11%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1953 |
VCF
1 - 0
SEV
69%
16%
15%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1953 |
MAL
2 - 1
CEL
54%
20%
26%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1953 |
RSO
4 - 1
MAL
70%
16%
14%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1953 |
MAL
1 - 0
ZAR
72%
16%
13%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1953 |
RAC
2 - 0
MAL
60%
19%
21%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1953 |
MAL
2 - 1
FCB
28%
22%
50%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | +1 |