Sevilla vs CD Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.8%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
12.5%
9.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
ATM
0 - 1
SEV
75%
14%
11%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
SEV
2 - 2
VCF
47%
22%
31%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
OVI
1 - 0
SEV
55%
21%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1949 |
SEV
3 - 4
RSO
67%
17%
16%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1949 |
FCB
7 - 0
SEV
78%
13%
9%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
MAL
1 - 3
RMA
34%
23%
43%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
GIM
5 - 1
MAL
65%
17%
17%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
MAL
2 - 3
ATH
35%
22%
43%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1949 |
ESP
2 - 2
MAL
73%
15%
13%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1949 |
MAL
2 - 0
CEL
43%
21%
36%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |