Sevilla vs CD Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.1%
Win probability
3.24
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.2%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.7%
8.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1949 |
SEV
2 - 0
ALC
73%
15%
13%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1949 |
GIM
1 - 3
SEV
51%
22%
27%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1949 |
SEV
3 - 1
DEP
70%
16%
14%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
RMA
1 - 0
SEV
69%
17%
14%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
SEV
1 - 0
OVI
63%
18%
19%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1949 |
MAL
3 - 0
SPO
61%
18%
21%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1949 |
RAC
2 - 2
MAL
53%
21%
25%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1949 |
MAL
5 - 0
GRA
64%
18%
18%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
BAR
3 - 2
MAL
62%
18%
20%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
MAL
1 - 0
CAS
64%
17%
19%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |