Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 4-2
Sevilla vs CD Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
13%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13%
9.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1934 |
SEV
3 - 1
RUN
61%
18%
21%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1934 |
ATM
0 - 2
SEV
69%
16%
15%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 1934 |
SEV
9 - 0
DEP
61%
20%
20%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 1934 |
SEV
2 - 1
SPO
55%
19%
26%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 1934 |
MAL
2 - 0
SEV
36%
23%
41%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1934 |
MAL
2 - 0
SEV
36%
23%
41%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1933 |
GRA
3 - 1
MAL
76%
14%
10%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Dec. 1933 |
MAL
3 - 1
JFC
41%
24%
36%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +2 |
| 10 Dec. 1933 |
MAL
1 - 2
GRA
42%
24%
35%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1933 |
JFC
2 - 1
MAL
76%
14%
10%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |